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Kevin Hester's avatar

Because the models being used rarely consider Feedback loops the worst-case scenario projections always undershoot.

Our worst-case scenarios are in reality the best possible outcome, that's how screwed we are!

Added to my blog post titled "Abrupt Climate Change and Extinction ‘Jenga’. The very last ‘game’ on Earth." The dominos are racked and stacked, good luck everyone!

https://kevinhester.live/2018/06/19/abrupt-climate-change-and-extinction-jenga-the-very-last-game-on-earth/

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Guy R McPherson's avatar

I like this: “racked and stacked.” I think you're well into Stage 6, gallows humor. I appreciate your detailed analysis as we attempt to simplify a complex subject.

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Grant Bond's avatar

Homo Sapiens doesnt have a problem. We are the problem. Only our extinction will allow the biosphere to return to a balance. Perhaps our, this 6th mass extinction, wont be as all consuming as Snowball Earth event or the other extreme: Permian. All the ozone might go so its back to microbes in the sea (safe from solar radiation). Wow, Canfield Ocean Event?

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Guy R McPherson's avatar

This is at least the ninth Mass Extinction Event. It is by far the most abrupt. When our species goes extinct, the rapid rate of environmental change in our wake will greatly accelerate the ongoing Mass Extinction Event, thereby driving all life on Earth to extinction. These statements are supported by peer-reviewed papers, as described at guymcpherson.com.

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Grant Bond's avatar

I did not know we had at least nine mass extinctions. It's been a decade since I read Kolbert's "Sixth Extinction", so that was my confusion (maybe she said more). Got it, at least nine mass extinctions.

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Aug 27
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Guy R McPherson's avatar

“All that heat is coming from human activity.”

#winning? Thank you for following and contributing to my work, Dr. Miklashek.

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