This is such a great piece because it highlights something that most people don't understand.
The Earth's climate had been cooling for about 6,000 years before the 19th century.
In just 100 years between 1800 and 1900 our climate forcing FLIPPED the climate system from a long term cooling trend into a RAPIDLY warming state. That forcing destabilized the climate system enough that it disrupted agriculture across much of the planet between 1870 and 1904.
About 10% of the global population died between 1870 and 1904 from famine.
See: Late Victorian Holocausts: El Niño Famines and the Making of the Third World by Mike Davis (2000)
It is EXTREMELY SIGNIFICANT that the models for warming at +2°C show MAJOR declines in agricultural productivity in exactly the same places that suffered during the 19th century.
Global impacts of heat and water stress on food production and severe food insecurity. June 2024
The prediction is that the "first wave" of dying is going to happen to the "third world" once again. That's where the first 2 billion will die as we climb up to +2°C (sustained) over the next 5-10 years.
We are at +1.6°C today and the Rate of Warming is hopefully no more than +0.36°C/decade.
We WILL be at +2°C by 2035 at the latest.
The fucking Insurance Industry Actuaries are predicting a 20-25% decline in global population and GDP at +2°C of warming.
Almost 2 billion people rely on meltwater from the Himalayas, as precipitation decreases in the region the potential for 'Water Wars' increases.
We need to be alert to dark forces, i.e. the USA, provoking conflict between China, Pakistan and India. They recently had a kinetic period of unrest where missiles and bullets were exchanged between two nuclear armed neighbours, this situation is ripe for exploitation, manipulation and destabilisation!
This is such a great piece because it highlights something that most people don't understand.
The Earth's climate had been cooling for about 6,000 years before the 19th century.
In just 100 years between 1800 and 1900 our climate forcing FLIPPED the climate system from a long term cooling trend into a RAPIDLY warming state. That forcing destabilized the climate system enough that it disrupted agriculture across much of the planet between 1870 and 1904.
About 10% of the global population died between 1870 and 1904 from famine.
See: Late Victorian Holocausts: El Niño Famines and the Making of the Third World by Mike Davis (2000)
It is EXTREMELY SIGNIFICANT that the models for warming at +2°C show MAJOR declines in agricultural productivity in exactly the same places that suffered during the 19th century.
Global impacts of heat and water stress on food production and severe food insecurity. June 2024
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-65274-z
The prediction is that the "first wave" of dying is going to happen to the "third world" once again. That's where the first 2 billion will die as we climb up to +2°C (sustained) over the next 5-10 years.
We are at +1.6°C today and the Rate of Warming is hopefully no more than +0.36°C/decade.
We WILL be at +2°C by 2035 at the latest.
The fucking Insurance Industry Actuaries are predicting a 20-25% decline in global population and GDP at +2°C of warming.
Collapse is upon us.
“Collapse is upon us.” It certainly is. Thank you for commenting on, and adding to, my work.
"Houston, we have a problem!"
Almost 2 billion people rely on meltwater from the Himalayas, as precipitation decreases in the region the potential for 'Water Wars' increases.
We need to be alert to dark forces, i.e. the USA, provoking conflict between China, Pakistan and India. They recently had a kinetic period of unrest where missiles and bullets were exchanged between two nuclear armed neighbours, this situation is ripe for exploitation, manipulation and destabilisation!
https://www.globalcitizen.org/en/content/himalayas-melting-climate-change/
Thank you your ongoing insights, Kevin. Thank you, too, for sharing and adding to my work.