"India is facing a dramatic rise in lightning strikes — up by 400% in just six years. New hotspots like Rajasthan, Delhi, and Gujarat are being hit, with storms becoming more frequent and dangerous."
There's no shortage of aerosols over India.
A 400% increase in just six years looks exponential to me.
A 77% reduction in shipping emissions is central, along with other feedback loops, to the marine heat waves we’ve been experiencing globally, but the reduction in aerosols, that act as cloud nuclei, also alter the amount of lightning strikes. In hindsight that should have been a no brainer.
On one of my ocean yacht deliveries, I saw a black ball appear on the horizon, it quickly got bigger and more elongated as the freighter belching tar into the atmosphere crossed my path, I remember being stunned at the pollution, they had been burning that bunker fuel for over 100 years.
What Dr James E Hansen described as our “Faustian Bargain” is even more complex than we knew before this recent analysis.
Another day another variable pops up, the new abnormal.
I've added this to my blog piece titled: " The Aerosol Masking Effect, a Deep Dive into Our “Faustian Bargain”, which I'll post below for further reference. One of the embedded analyses has a video explanation of the AME from Leon Simons who often co publishes with Dr Hansen.
From my experience Jim, Leon and Guy are the leading experts on the AME.
So if I'm reading this correctly, the lightning amount reduced but the rain amount did not? A very simplified statement, I know, but will help me to make sure I understand. The data regarding the impact of the loss of aerosol masking is terrifying. Thanks for the report, Guy.
"India is facing a dramatic rise in lightning strikes — up by 400% in just six years. New hotspots like Rajasthan, Delhi, and Gujarat are being hit, with storms becoming more frequent and dangerous."
There's no shortage of aerosols over India.
A 400% increase in just six years looks exponential to me.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6_p9DO2AGow
How's this for a twist
The ultimate "Catch 22", our "Faustian Bargain" as Jim Hansen calls it.
The Law of Unintended Consequences strikes again.
https://www.business-standard.com/industry/news/india-eases-sulphur-norms-for-coal-plants-reversing-decade-old-mandate-125071200473_1.html?fbclid=IwY2xjawLgEcBleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHsVb7MCfUIdJ6Ob7zOVpC1-TTMAr6iHuaOnYqEZzDEGNhAhCGaiqeOs682tT_aem_maKCVIXTxBezAdM9E3wFcg#goog_rewarded
Added to my own blog post on the AME
This is an important decision. Adding additional sulphur has consequences, particularly for aerosol masking.
I apologize for my redundancy. Thank you for your ongoing collegiality. I appreciate what you do in support of my work.
A 77% reduction in shipping emissions is central, along with other feedback loops, to the marine heat waves we’ve been experiencing globally, but the reduction in aerosols, that act as cloud nuclei, also alter the amount of lightning strikes. In hindsight that should have been a no brainer.
On one of my ocean yacht deliveries, I saw a black ball appear on the horizon, it quickly got bigger and more elongated as the freighter belching tar into the atmosphere crossed my path, I remember being stunned at the pollution, they had been burning that bunker fuel for over 100 years.
What Dr James E Hansen described as our “Faustian Bargain” is even more complex than we knew before this recent analysis.
Another day another variable pops up, the new abnormal.
I've added this to my blog piece titled: " The Aerosol Masking Effect, a Deep Dive into Our “Faustian Bargain”, which I'll post below for further reference. One of the embedded analyses has a video explanation of the AME from Leon Simons who often co publishes with Dr Hansen.
From my experience Jim, Leon and Guy are the leading experts on the AME.
https://kevinhester.live/2024/03/18/the-aerosol-masking-effect-a-deep-dive-into-our-faustian-bargain/
“Jim, Leon and Guy are the leading experts on the AME.”
You’re very kind, Kevin. I doubt Hansen and Simons know who I am.
Thank you for your unending collegiality. I greatly appreciate your efforts in sharing, liking, and adding to my work.
So if I'm reading this correctly, the lightning amount reduced but the rain amount did not? A very simplified statement, I know, but will help me to make sure I understand. The data regarding the impact of the loss of aerosol masking is terrifying. Thanks for the report, Guy.
That’s correct, Mez. Lightning was reduced, and the rain was not.